Opinion polling for the next Icelandic parliamentary election
In the run up to the next Icelandic parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Iceland during the term of the Althing. This article lists the results of such polls.
The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous election, held on 28 October 2017, to the present day. The elections are to be held on or before 23 October 2021.[1]
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).
Graphical summary
D = Independence Party, V = Left-Green Movement, S = Social Democratic Alliance, M = Centre Party, B = Progressive Party, P = Pirate Party, F = People's Party, C = Reform Party, J = Socialist Party.
Polls
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Resp. | D | V | S | M | B | P | F | C | J | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gallup | 6–31 Jan 2021 | 9,019 | 51.4 | 22.7 | 12.8 | 16.6 | 8.0 | 9.5 | 11.1 | 3.9 | 11.7 | 3.8 | – | 6.1 |
| MMR | 30 Dec 2020–11 Jan 2021 | 2,002 | - | 24.4 | 10.9 | 15.6 | 8.6 | 9.1 | 12.3 | 4.9 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 8.8 |
| Gallup | 1 Dec 2020–3 Jan 2021 | 10,958 | 51.5 | 23.7 | 11.7 | 17.0 | 9.1 | 8.3 | 11.9 | 4.3 | 10.0 | 3.8 | – | 6.7 |
| Zenter | 11–19 Dec 2020 | 2,500 | 52.8 | 22.9 | 10.2 | 15.6 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 17.0 | 4.7 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 5.9 |
| MMR | 26 Nov–3 Dec 2020 | 944 | - | 27.1 | 7.6 | 13.8 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 13.8 | 6.2 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 12.3 |
| Gallup | 2–30 Nov 2020 | 9,351 | 53.6 | 23.7 | 11.8 | 17.1 | 8.8 | 8.6 | 12.4 | 4.1 | 9.7 | 3.7 | – | 6.6 |
| MMR | 6–11 Nov 2020 | 925 | - | 25.0 | 7.5 | 16.7 | 9.1 | 9.9 | 14.3 | 3.9 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 8.3 |
| Gallup | 30 Sep–1 Nov 2020 | 10,937 | 54.0 | 23.5 | 11.9 | 15.8 | 9.9 | 7.7 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 11.6 | 2.7 | – | 7.7 |
| MMR | 23–28 Oct 2020 | 933 | - | 21.9 | 8.3 | 15.2 | 11.6 | 10.2 | 13.5 | 3.8 | 9.7 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 6.7 |
| Gallup | 1–30 Sep 2020 | 9,673 | 52.9 | 23.9 | 13.7 | 14.9 | 9.4 | 6.7 | 13.2 | 3.7 | 10.4 | 3.9 | – | 9.0 |
| MMR | 10–23 Sep 2020 | 2,043 | - | 25.6 | 8.5 | 12.8 | 10.8 | 8.3 | 15.0 | 3.6 | 9.4 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 10.6 |
| MMR | 26 Aug–2 Sep 2020 | 929 | - | 24.0 | 9.6 | 14.9 | 8.0 | 8.9 | 14.3 | 4.8 | 10.0 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 9.1 |
| Gallup | 4–31 Aug 2020 | 9,479 | 51.9 | 22.8 | 12.6 | 14.7 | 9.9 | 7.9 | 13.7 | 3.6 | 10.6 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 8.1 |
| Gallup | 31 Jul 2020 | - | - | 23.2 | 10.9 | 14.8 | 10.6 | 7.6 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 0.1 | 8.4 |
| MMR | 23–28 Jul 2020 | 951 | - | 24.0 | 10.8 | 13.1 | 8.4 | 8.6 | 15.4 | 4.0 | 8.4 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 8.6 |
| Gallup | 02–30 Jun 2020 | 10,274 | 51.7 | 24.0 | 13.6 | 14.9 | 10.2 | 8.6 | 10.7 | 3.6 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 0.1 | 9.1 |
| MMR | 16–19 Jun 2020 | 1,045 | - | 24.3 | 10.7 | 16.3 | 8.0 | 6.1 | 13.2 | 5.4 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 8.0 |
| Gallup | 4 May–1 Jun 2020 | 10,630 | 54.0 | 24.6 | 14.3 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 7.7 | 11.0 | 4.4 | 9.7 | 3.3 | – | 10.2 |
| MMR | 19–25 May 2020 | 994 | - | 23.5 | 10.6 | 13.3 | 10.8 | 6.4 | 14.6 | 3.6 | 11.3 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 8.9 |
| Gallup | 30 Mar–3 May 2020 | 11,028 | 55.7 | 25.1 | 13.8 | 13.8 | 9.9 | 8.4 | 10.4 | 4.4 | 10.0 | 4.0 | – | 11.3 |
| MMR | 15–17 Apr 2020 | 1,051 | - | 22.7 | 10.4 | 13.1 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 12.3 | 4.7 | 10.0 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 9.6 |
| MMR | 3–7 Apr 2020 | 987 | - | 23.5 | 12.3 | 14.1 | 10.7 | 8.8 | 12.2 | 3.4 | 9.6 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 9.4 |
| Gallup | 2–29 Mar 2020 | 10,352 | 54.8 | 23.5 | 13.3 | 15.1 | 11.2 | 8.1 | 10.2 | 4.2 | 11.1 | 3.2 | – | 8.4 |
| MMR | 18–20 Mar 2020 | 1,034 | - | 27.4 | 9.8 | 14.7 | 10.0 | 8.1 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 12.7 |
| Gallup | 3 Feb–1 Mar 2020 | 7,964 | 53.8 | 22.0 | 11.9 | 14.8 | 14.2 | 7.0 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 10.3 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 7.2 |
| MMR | 6–10 Feb 2020 | 1,003 | - | 22.0 | 10.7 | 15.1 | 13.3 | 6.8 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 9.7 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 6.9 |
| Gallup | 03 Jan–02 Feb 2020 | 8,678 | 51.8 | 21.6 | 10.5 | 17.7 | 12.5 | 7.8 | 11.5 | 4.2 | 10.3 | 3.4 | – | 3.9 |
| MMR | 28 Jan 2020 | - | - | 19.0 | 8.7 | 16.6 | 15.1 | 7.2 | 10.6 | 3.8 | 12.4 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| MMR | 3–13 Jan 2020 | 2,057 | - | 20.3 | 11.1 | 16.8 | 12.9 | 8.2 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 10.5 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| Gallup | 2 Dec 2019–1 Jan 2020 | 8,511 | 52.8 | 22.7 | 10.7 | 13.9 | 12.7 | 8.6 | 11.3 | 4.3 | 12.0 | 3.3 | – | 8.8 |
| MMR | 13–19 Dec 2019 | 1,014 | - | 20.0 | 10.3 | 14.4 | 14.3 | 8.3 | 11.8 | 4.0 | 10.5 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 5.6 |
| Gallup | 28 Oct–1 Dec 2019 | 11,663 | 53.2 | 21.7 | 13.6 | 15.8 | 12.9 | 7.8 | 10.3 | 3.9 | 10.8 | 3.0 | – | 5.9 |
| MMR | 15–22 Nov 2019 | 1,061 | - | 18.1 | 10.6 | 13.2 | 16.8 | 9.4 | 10.8 | 6.3 | 9.7 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Gallup | 30 Sep–27 Oct 2019 | 9,798 | - | 22.7 | 13.4 | 17.3 | 11.5 | 8.2 | 9.0 | 4.6 | 10.3 | 2.6 | – | 5.4 |
| MMR | 21–25 Oct 2019 | 972 | - | 21.1 | 9.7 | 15.3 | 13.5 | 10.0 | 8.9 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 5.8 |
| Zenter | 10–14 Oct 2019 | 2,300 | 53 | 19.6 | 12.5 | 18.5 | 11.6 | 7.3 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 11.3 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| MMR | 30 Sep–09 Oct 2019 | 2,124 | - | 19.8 | 10.3 | 14.1 | 14.8 | 10.1 | 8.8 | 5.6 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 5.0 |
| Gallup | 01–30 Sep 2019 | - | - | 23.5 | 12.0 | 16.1 | 12.3 | 7.9 | 9.7 | 4.3 | 11.2 | 2.7 | – | 7.4 |
| MMR | 09–16 Sep 2019 | 1,045 | - | 18.3 | 12.8 | 14.8 | 12.0 | 11.8 | 12.4 | 4.0 | 10.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3.5 |
| Gallup | 29 Jul–01 Sep 2019 | 8,423 | 47.2 | 21.7 | 12.8 | 15.5 | 13.4 | 8.3 | 9.3 | 3.8 | 11.4 | 3.7 | - | 6.2 |
| MMR | 12–19 Aug 2019 | 990 | - | 19.1 | 11.5 | 16.8 | 13.0 | 10.4 | 11.3 | 4.1 | 9.3 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Gallup | 01–31 Jul 2019 | - | - | 21.6 | 12.0 | 13.7 | 12.1 | 8.5 | 12.7 | 3.7 | 12.2 | 3.2 | – | 7.9 |
| Zenter | 24–26 Jul 2019 | 2,000 | 45.0 | 20.5 | 12.9 | 14.4 | 13.4 | 8.2 | 12.3 | 3.2 | 10.6 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 6.1 |
| MMR | 04–17 Jul 2019 | 2,031 | - | 19.0 | 10.3 | 13.5 | 14.4 | 8.4 | 14.9 | 4.8 | 9.7 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 4.1 |
| Gallup | 31 May–30 Jun 2019 | 5,910 | 53.0 | 23.7 | 13.0 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 8.6 | 11.3 | 4.2 | 10.1 | 3.0 | – | 9.0 |
| MMR | 7–14 Jun 2019 | 988 | – | 22.1 | 11.3 | 14.4 | 10.6 | 7.7 | 14.4 | 4.2 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 7.7 |
| Gallup | 3–30 May 2019 | 6,125 | 53.5 | 23.4 | 12.4 | 16.6 | 10.0 | 8.5 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 10.9 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 6.8 |
| MMR | 23–29 May 2019 | 932 | – | 21.5 | 14.1 | 12.5 | 10.8 | 9.7 | 14.0 | 4.2 | 8.3 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 7.4 |
| MMR | 14–16 May 2019 | 978 | – | 21.3 | 12.2 | 13.9 | 11.8 | 11.6 | 9.8 | 6.4 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 7.4 |
| MMR | 30 Apr–3 May 2019 | 941 | – | 20.2 | 13.4 | 14.1 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 13.4 | 5.1 | 9.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 6.1 |
| Gallup | 5–30 Apr 2019 | 5,189 | 57.7 | 23.6 | 13.3 | 16.2 | 8.9 | 8.0 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 7.4 |
| MMR | 13 Apr 2019 | – | – | 22.5 | 12.1 | 14.3 | 9.2 | 11.2 | 13.3 | 5.0 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 8.2 |
| MMR | 4–9 Apr 2019 | 926 | – | 21.7 | 10.4 | 13.9 | 10.2 | 8.7 | 15.0 | 5.4 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 6.7 |
| Gallup | 1–31 Mar 2019 | 6,705 | 55.4 | 25.0 | 11.6 | 15.9 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 11.6 | 3.7 | 10.3 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 9.1 |
| MMR | 11–14 Mar 2019 | 1,025 | – | 23.6 | 11.4 | 13.8 | 8.0 | 11.1 | 13.6 | 4.7 | 9.4 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 9.8 |
| Gallup | 31 Jan–28 Feb 2019 | 7,060 | 53.5 | 25.0 | 12.3 | 16.8 | 6.7 | 9.0 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 8.2 |
| MMR | 11–15 Feb 2019 | 934 | – | 22.7 | 11.1 | 15.9 | 6.1 | 13.5 | 10.4 | 6.9 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 6.8 |
| Gallup | 7–31 Jan 2019 | 4,241 | 54.4 | 23.4 | 11.3 | 19.1 | 6.5 | 8.8 | 12.7 | 3.7 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 0.1 | 4.3 |
| MMR | 28 Jan 2019 | – | – | 21.8 | 12.2 | 15.5 | 8.3 | 12.6 | 12.0 | 5.4 | 9.2 | – | 3.1 | 6.3 |
| MMR | 4–14 Jan 2019 | 2,061 | – | 22.2 | 11.3 | 15.0 | 6.9 | 11.7 | 13.8 | 6.7 | 7.8 | – | 4.6 | 7.2 |
| Gallup | 3 Dec 2018–1 Jan 2019 | 4,899 | 58.0 | 22.7 | 11.6 | 18.4 | 5.7 | 11.4 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 10.5 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 4.3 |
| MMR | 5–11 Dec 2018 | 975 | – | 22.1 | 12.9 | 16.9 | 5.9 | 12.5 | 14.4 | 4.2 | 8.5 | – | 2.6 | 5.2 |
| Zenter | 3–4 Dec 2018 | 2,300 | 55 | 21.4 | 12.7 | 20.8 | 4.3 | 8.5 | 14.4 | 5.7 | 9.1 | – | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| Maskína | 30 Nov–3 Dec 2018 | 1,311 | – | 19.3 | 14.9 | 19.7 | 4.6 | 8.8 | 14.9 | 4.4 | 13.4 | – | – | 0.4 |
| Gallup | 3 Nov–2 Dec 2018 | 5,319 | 58.3 | 23.5 | 10.5 | 18.7 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 10.2 | 6.2 | 9.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 4.8 |
| MMR | 21 Nov 2018 | – | – | 21.1 | 10.3 | 16.3 | 13.1 | 7.5 | 11.3 | 7.6 | 8.6 | – | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| MMR | 8–12 Nov 2018 | 1,048 | – | 19.8 | 11.5 | 16.6 | 12.1 | 8.8 | 11.3 | 7.3 | 7.8 | – | 4.7 | 3.2 |
| Gallup | 2–31 Oct 2018 | 6,129 | 54.8 | 25.8 | 10.6 | 17.0 | 10.3 | 7.2 | 10.6 | 6.2 | 10.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 8.8 |
| MMR | 22 Oct 2018 | – | – | 20.8 | 10.8 | 16.5 | 12.8 | 7.8 | 13.2 | 5.9 | 9.9 | – | 2.3 | 4.3 |
| MMR | 3–9 Oct 2018 | 921 | – | 20.8 | 10.9 | 16.7 | 11.9 | 8.9 | 12.7 | 6.1 | 8.6 | – | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| Gallup | 3 Sep–1 Oct 2018 | 5,460 | 53.3 | 24.6 | 10.3 | 19.3 | 9.8 | 6.6 | 11.5 | 5.9 | 10.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 5.3 |
| MMR | 7–12 Sep 2018 | 953 | – | 21.3 | 11.1 | 19.8 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 13.2 | 5.3 | 7.9 | – | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Gallup | 2 Aug–2 Sep 2018 | 7,094 | 52.6 | 22.7 | 11.7 | 19.3 | 8.7 | 8.2 | 12.5 | 5.7 | 10.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 3.4 |
| MMR | 10 Aug 2018 | – | – | 22.1 | 8.8 | 16.6 | 10.3 | 8.9 | 13.4 | 7.8 | 8.7 | – | 3.4 | 5.5 |
| Gallup | 29–30 Jul 2018 | 7,060 | 50.4 | 24.6 | 10.7 | 16.7 | 8.6 | 9.2 | 13.9 | 6.0 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7.9 |
| Gallup | 31 May–1 Jul 2018 | 5,875 | 55.2 | 24.5 | 11.5 | 15.2 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 13.1 | 5.1 | 10.4 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 9.3 |
| MMR | 12–18 Jun 2018 | 925 | – | 21.6 | 12.7 | 15.1 | 10.6 | 9.5 | 14.3 | 8.2 | 5.8 | – | 2.2 | 6.5 |
| Gallup | 2–31 May 2018 | 7,113 | 56.6 | 23.8 | 13.3 | 17.9 | 8.5 | 8.9 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 8.4 | – | 1.8 | 5.9 |
| MMR | 16–22 May 2018 | 929 | – | 23.7 | 12.0 | 14.6 | 9.8 | 10.1 | 14.1 | 5.6 | 7.1 | – | 3.0 | 9.1 |
| MMR | 2 May 2018 | – | – | 24.5 | 13.7 | 14.7 | 10.3 | 8.2 | 13.0 | 5.8 | 7.6 | – | 2.1 | 9.8 |
| Gallup | 27 Mar–29 Apr 2018 | 6,766 | 56.3 | 25.3 | 14.1 | 17.7 | 7.9 | 9.6 | 11.0 | 4.2 | 7.7 | – | 2.5 | 7.6 |
| MMR | 13–19 Apr 2018 | 910 | – | 23.9 | 14.3 | 13.6 | 8.8 | 7.3 | 15.3 | 6.9 | 7.0 | – | 2.8 | 8.6 |
| Gallup | 1–26 Mar 2018 | 5,423 | 57.0 | 24.5 | 13.9 | 16.5 | 8.7 | 9.2 | 12.5 | 4.9 | 8.4 | – | 1.4 | 8.0 |
| MMR | 19 Mar 2018 | – | – | 25.3 | 14.8 | 16.1 | 10.7 | 9.0 | 13.2 | 3.6 | 6.0 | – | 1.4 | 9.2 |
| MMR | 12 Mar 2018 | – | – | 21.9 | 16.1 | 15.9 | 9.7 | 8.8 | 13.8 | 5.7 | 6.1 | – | 2.0 | 5.8 |
| Gallup | 1–28 Feb 2018 | 5,564 | 55.3 | 23.5 | 16.6 | 15.3 | 8.6 | 9.3 | 11.9 | 5.9 | 6.8 | – | 2.2 | 6.9 |
| Gallup | 4–31 Jan 2018 | 5,606 | 53.8 | 25.5 | 16.9 | 16.1 | 6.8 | 9.5 | 10.7 | 5.5 | 7.3 | – | 1.7 | 8.6 |
| MMR | 25–30 Jan 2018 | 928 | – | 22.3 | 18.4 | 14.9 | 7.7 | 11.2 | 12.9 | 4.2 | 6.0 | – | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| MMR | 9–17 Jan 2018 | 1,594 | – | 25.8 | 15.0 | 13.9 | 6.9 | 11.2 | 12.2 | 6.1 | 6.2 | – | 2.6 | 10.8 |
| Gallup | 30 Nov–28 Dec 2017 | 7,001 | 55.2 | 25.1 | 17.3 | 15.5 | 5.8 | 11.9 | 10.1 | 5.4 | 6.5 | – | 2.4 | 7.8 |
| MMR | 12–15 Dec 2017 | 923 | – | 23.2 | 16.7 | 16.8 | 8.7 | 8.5 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 5.7 | – | 2.5 | 6.4 |
| Fréttablaðið/Stöð 2/Vísir | 4 Dec 2017 | 804 | – | 26.4 | 23.5 | 13.4 | 7.4 | 11.3 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 4.8 | – | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| Gallup | 8–30 Nov 2017 | 3,991 | 57.8 | 24.0 | 16.1 | 16.7 | 6.8 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 6.4 | 7.1 | – | 2.1 | 7.3 |
| MMR | 14–17 Nov 2017 | 944 | – | 24.4 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 10.5 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 8.4 | 6.5 | – | 1.8 | 8.4 |
| 2017 parliamentary election | 28 Oct 2017 | – | – | 25.2 | 16.9 | 12.1 | 10.9 | 10.7 | 9.2 | 6.9 | 6.7 | – | 1.5 | 8.4 |
Notes
References
- "Atkvæðagreiðsla utan kjörfundar hefst í dag". Morgunblaðið. 20 September 2017. Retrieved 30 October 2017.
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